The EU can afford to wait, but China cannot
German auto troubles have hardened Europe’s stance
Europe now builds leverage through new trade routes and partners
In 2024, the European Union ran a €304.5 billion goods defic
Export controls can accelerate innovation by forcing substitution
China’s AI stack shows rapid adaptation under GPU limits
Education must train for constraints, secure compute, and resilient supply chains
From Lending Apps to Settlement Rails: Why Stablecoin Banking Will Define the Next Decade
Picture
Member for
1 year 1 month
Real name
Ethan McGowan
Bio
Ethan McGowan is a Professor of Financial Technology and Legal Analytics at the Gordon School of Business, SIAI. Originally from the United Kingdom, he works at the frontier of AI applications in financial regulation and institutional strategy, advising on governance and legal frameworks for next-generation investment vehicles. McGowan plays a key role in SIAI’s expansion into global finance hubs, including oversight of the institute’s initiatives in the Middle East and its emerging hedge fund operations.
Published
Modified
Stablecoin banking—not lending apps—now drives the real contest over payment infrastructure
Stablecoins move trillions monthly as regulation and instant domestic rails converge
Universities should pilot cross-border stablecoin payments and teach the operational playbook
The most critical number in finance that barely makes the evening news is this: in 2025, dollar-pegged stablecoins moved more than $2 trillion per month on public blockchains, with peaks near $4 trillion. That flow is not the same as card purchase volume, and it isn’t all consumer spending. However, it sends a clear signal that value is already moving to new settlement systems globally. The old debate about whether fintech lenders would replace banks missed the mark. The real competition is about settlement infrastructure, and here things have changed. Banks are not being overwhelmed by lending apps. They are adopting the best fintech ideas, modernizing their systems, and connecting to instant networks. Meanwhile, stablecoin banking, which consists of regulated digital dollars with bank-level controls, has emerged as the fastest-growing neutral layer for transferring money across borders and platforms. The question now is not about disruption versus defense. It is whether policy will urgently shape this new structure to benefit learners, institutions, and the broader economy.
Over the past two years, traditional banks have learned to follow the fintech playbook where it counts: speed, data portability, and embedded finance. Fintech continues to grow, but in specific areas. A 2025 global review estimates that fintechs have captured only about 3% of banking and insurance revenues, even as larger players report substantial profits and 21% revenue growth in 2024. Traditional banks hold the upper hand in funding and distribution; fintechs succeed where banks have been slow, uncompetitive, or restricted. Lending platforms now provide assets to private credit funds, bank treasuries handle real-time payments facilitated by instant networks, and payment networks are experimenting with on-chain settlement. The story is no longer “banks versus fintech,” but a race to build a unified system where regulated deposits, instant networks that enable real-time transactions, and tokenized dollars work together.
Stablecoin banking is a settlement layer, not a bank killer
If lending was the first act, settlement is the next. Consider three facts. First, fintech lending remains small compared to the broader system: about $500 billion in outstanding fintech-originated loans globally, versus $18 trillion in U.S. household debt alone. Second, banks have developed instant payment systems: The Clearing House’s RTP network processed $481 billion in Q2 2025, and the FedNow Service reported over 1,300 participating institutions as of April 2025, with growth continuing through mid-year. Third, the market cap of stablecoins reached a record of around $252 billion in June 2025 as lawmakers began advancing specific regulations. The pattern is clear. Banks maintain their balance sheets and regulatory perimeter, fintechs expand into new areas, and stablecoins and tokenized deposits begin to weave the middle, acting as programmable settlement assets that are accessible across platforms and time zones.
Mainstream payment networks are also normalizing these systems. Visa now supports stablecoin settlements using USDC and continues to expand its support for various chains and assets. Mastercard has extended its partnership with Circle to allow USDC settlements in parts of EEMEA. These are not just crypto experiments. They represent gradual improvements in how payment processors fund and settle transactions, especially across borders and over weekends when traditional correspondent systems can be slow or costly. With each pilot and regional rollout, on-chain dollars gain legitimate off-ramps and risk frameworks. This doesn’t make banks obsolete. Instead, it positions them as gateways and protectors for a more open settlement structure, where stablecoin banking becomes a feature of the system, not a threat to it.
Figure 1: Stablecoin rails now clear ~20× the monthly value of a single U.S. instant rail, signaling that the real contest has moved from lending apps to settlement infrastructure.
The case for stablecoin banking, focusing on cost, speed, and reach
Cross-border fees are a primary policy issue that stablecoin systems can address. The World Bank’s Remittance Prices Worldwide reports the global average remittance fee at about 6.49% in 2025, far above the SDG target of 3%. Stablecoins will not automatically solve compliance issues or foreign exchange spreads, and not every region is ready for change. However, programmable dollars can reduce settlement delays and eliminate gaps on weekends or holidays. They also allow for 24/7 treasury operations that synchronize with instant domestic clearing. As networks enable pre-funded redemptions and improved liquidity management, total costs can decrease in regions where correspondent systems are weakest. For education finance, this could mean lower international tuition fees, faster refunds, and smoother payments to students and researchers living across borders.
Figure 2: Global remittance fees average 6.49%, far above the SDG 3% target; digital and SmaRT services are closer to target, highlighting where stablecoin settlement plus regulated off-ramps can compress total landed cost.
Scale and regulation are coming together. Chainalysis estimates that stablecoins account for a majority of on-chain transaction value, with monthly transfers in 2025 consistently exceeding $2 trillion. Meanwhile, the EU’s MiCA regulations applied full reserve and redemption rules to stablecoins starting June 30, 2024. Regulators have been refining liquidity standards throughout 2025. In the U.S., a Senate-passed bill in mid-2025 proposed rules for liquidity-backed reserves and monthly disclosures for issuers.
Additionally, open banking rules—essential for data portability and compliance—are undergoing revisions and legal challenges. The signal is not confusing. It is convergence: the same risks will have the same rules for digital dollars, classified by their function, and tied to bank-level safeguards.
A practical policy framework for stablecoin banking
Treat stablecoins as payment tools rather than shadow deposits, which are unregulated and non-bank entities that perform bank-like functions, and regulate them accordingly. Europe’s MiCA places e-money-style responsibilities on fiat-pegged tokens, including authorization, high-quality reserves, redemption at par, and regular disclosures. This model, adapted to local laws, should guide issuance and oversight elsewhere. In practice, this means licensing issuers, enforcing separate reserves in Treasury bills and cash, requiring independent verification, and establishing sensible stress-redemption rules. It also means aligning wallet providers and off-ramps with existing anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing obligations, ensuring compliance with Travel Rule standards similar to those for wire transfers. If this is done, stablecoin banking can become a safe, straightforward utility that decreases friction while maintaining consumer protection.
Build the interoperable system. On the bank side, establish lasting data-sharing standards so that know-your-customer checks, sanctions screening, and transaction oversight can accompany payments. The CFPB’s open banking rule was finalized in 2024 and is under review in 2025; the outcome should ensure secure API access while balancing costs and liabilities. Regarding payments, synchronize instant payment networks (like RTP and FedNow) with on-chain settlements so that institutions can manage incoming stablecoin receipts in insured deposits in real time and vice versa. On the partnership side, enforce the 2024 U.S. interagency guidance on third-party risk to ensure that bank-fintech collaborations tighten control rather than loosen it. The goal is not about adhering to ideological beliefs. It is about creating a system where each part—deposits, instant networks, and tokenized settlement assets—performs its best function under clear rules.
What stablecoin banking means for education leaders
University CFOs and bursars should focus on practical applications rather than ideology. Cross-border tuition and refunds present an easy opportunity. If a school already accepts wire transfers and credit cards, integrating a stablecoin-to-treasury process through a regulated payment provider can reduce delays and minimize failed transactions for students without access to hard currency accounts. The setup is straightforward: accept USDC or similar regulated tokens, clear anti-money laundering and Travel Rule checks, automatically convert to local currency or transfer to insured deposits, and reconcile through standard ERP processes. This does not involve holding volatile cryptocurrencies. It is about using a programmable, always-available settlement tool at the edge while keeping cash management and reporting at the core. With instant networks, refunds can arrive the same day instead of taking weeks. This is a service improvement students will notice.
For academic leaders, closing the curriculum gap is crucial. Graduates in business, public policy, and computer science will navigate a world where stablecoin banking and tokenized deposits are common. Programs should cover practical realities: how reserves function, what Travel Rule data looks like, how sanctions screening works, why on-chain transfers differ from credit card transactions, what MiCA and U.S. regulations require, and how to analyze the total cost of ownership between on-chain and correspondent systems. Compliance and risk teams should also be trained to this standard. The market will not wait, nor will students who need faster, more affordable financial access across borders. When policies clarify and controls strengthen, institutions that begin pilot programs now will be better positioned to scale smoothly.
The figure that started this column indicates a shift. Trillions in monthly on-chain transfers show that the world has already begun testing a new settlement system. Banks did not lose the lending battle. They adapted, collaborated, and updated. The next decade will depend on how well we govern the connections linking them to the open internet of value. Ensure stablecoins are safe, straightforward, and widely accepted—through licensed issuance, high-quality reserves, instant redemption, supervision for wallets and off-ramps, and open banking data channels—so that “crypto” becomes basic infrastructure. Education leaders should take action: test cross-border tuition and refund systems with regulated providers. Teach students the practical workings of this infrastructure. Urge policymakers to synchronize standards so that instant domestic payments and stablecoin banking support each other instead of competing. If we move forward this way, the trillion-dollar number will be more than just interesting. It will become the foundation of a fairer, faster financial system that serves learners first.
The views expressed in this article are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the official position of the Swiss Institute of Artificial Intelligence (SIAI) or its affiliates.
References
Adyen. (2025). Fintech you can bank on: How global banking infrastructure sets fintech apart. Retrieved July 2025. BCG & QED Investors. (2025, June 2). Fintech’s Next Chapter: Scaled Winners and Emerging Disruptors. (Global Fintech 2025). BIS (Ahmed, R., et al.). (2025). Stablecoins and safe asset prices (BIS Working Paper No. 1270). Chainalysis. (2025, Jan. 15). 2025 Crypto Crime Trends: Introduction. Chainalysis. (2025, Sept. 2). 2025 Global Crypto Adoption Index. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. (2024, Oct. 22). CFPB finalizes Personal Financial Data Rights rule. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. (2025). Personal Financial Data Rights—Reconsideration and updates. EBA. (2025, Oct. 10). Opinions on MiCA liquidity requirements for reserve assets. ESMA. (2023–2025). Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) implementation timeline and measures. FDIC, Federal Reserve, & OCC. (2024, July 25). Joint statement on banks’ arrangements with third parties. FedNow Service. (2025, Apr. 16). Continues momentum: 1,300+ participating institutions. Mastercard. (2025, Aug. 26). Expands partnership with Circle to transform digital settlement in EEMEA. The Clearing House. (2025, July 17). RTP network Q2 2025 value surge to $481B; 107M transactions. Visa. (2023, Sept. 5). Expands stablecoin settlement to Solana; partners with Worldpay and Nuvei. Visa. (2025, July 31). Expands stablecoin settlement support: more chains and use-cases. World Bank. (2025). Remittance Prices Worldwide (Issue 49; global average ~6.49%).
Picture
Member for
1 year 1 month
Real name
Ethan McGowan
Bio
Ethan McGowan is a Professor of Financial Technology and Legal Analytics at the Gordon School of Business, SIAI. Originally from the United Kingdom, he works at the frontier of AI applications in financial regulation and institutional strategy, advising on governance and legal frameworks for next-generation investment vehicles. McGowan plays a key role in SIAI’s expansion into global finance hubs, including oversight of the institute’s initiatives in the Middle East and its emerging hedge fund operations.
China’s green transition is driven by private equity, not state subsidies
This market-led buildout cuts costs, lowers geopolitical risk, and is nudging emissions down
Europe should use compliant Chinese solar and storage now while scaling its own niches and grids
Digital money has arrived at scale
Public rails should anchor trust while markets build services
Schools and regulators must prepare for multi-rail payments with privacy, openness, and interoperability
Chatbots Are Not Search: Algorithmic Gatekeeping and Generative AI in Education Policy
Picture
Member for
1 year 1 month
Real name
Ethan McGowan
Bio
Ethan McGowan is a Professor of Financial Technology and Legal Analytics at the Gordon School of Business, SIAI. Originally from the United Kingdom, he works at the frontier of AI applications in financial regulation and institutional strategy, advising on governance and legal frameworks for next-generation investment vehicles. McGowan plays a key role in SIAI’s expansion into global finance hubs, including oversight of the institute’s initiatives in the Middle East and its emerging hedge fund operations.
Published
Modified
Chatbots replace lists with a single voice, intensifying algorithmic gatekeeping
In portal-first markets like Korea, hallucination and narrowed content threaten civic learning
Mandate citations, rival answers, list-mode defaults, and independent audits in schools and platforms
Only 6% of people in South Korea go directly to news sites or apps for news. The majority access information through platforms like Naver, Daum, and YouTube. When most of a nation relies on just a few sources for public information, how those sources are designed becomes a civic issue, not just a product feature. This is the essence of algorithmic gatekeeping. In the past, recommendation engines provided lists. Users could click away, search again, or compare sources. Chatbots do more than that. They make selections, condense information, and present it in a single voice. That voice can appear calm but may be misleading. It might "hallucinate." It can introduce bias that seems helpful. If news access shifts to a chatbot interface, the old concerns about search bias become inadequate. We need policies that treat conversational responses as editorial decisions on a large scale. In Korea's portal culture, this change is urgent and has wider implications.
Algorithmic gatekeeping changes the power of defaults
In the past, the main argument for personalization was choice. Lists of links allowed users to retain control. They could type a new query or try a different portal. In chat, however, the default is an answer rather than a list. This answer influences the follow-up question. It creates context and narrows the scope. In a portal-driven market like Korea, where portals are the primary source for news and direct access is uncommon, designing a single default answer carries democratic significance. When a gate provides an answer instead of a direction, the line between curation and opinion becomes unclear. Policymakers should view this not simply as a tech upgrade, but as a change in editorial control with stakes greater than previous debates about search rankings and snippets. If algorithmic gatekeeping once organized information like shelves, it now defines the blurb on the cover. That blurb can be convincing because it appears neutral. However, it is difficult to audit without a clear paper trail.
Figure 1: Older Koreans rely on YouTube for news more than younger groups, concentrating agenda-setting power in platform gatekeepers. This makes default “single-answer” chat layers even more consequential for civic learning.
Korea's news portals reveal both opportunities and dangers. A recent peer-reviewed study comparing personalized and non-personalized feeds on Naver shows that personalization can lower content diversity while increasing source diversity, and that personalized outputs tend to appear more neutral than non-personalized ones. The user's own beliefs did not significantly affect the measured bias. This does not give a free pass. Reduced content diversity can still limit what citizens learn. More sources do not ensure more perspectives. A seemingly "neutral" tone in a single conversational response may hide what has been left out. In effect, algorithmic gatekeeping can seem fair while still limiting the scope of information. The shift from lists to voices amplifies this narrowing, especially for first-time users who rarely click through.
Algorithmic gatekeeping meets hallucination risk
Another key difference between search and chat is the chance for errors. Recommendation engines might surface biased links, but they rarely create false information. Chatbots sometimes do. Research on grounded summarization indicates modest but genuine rates of hallucination for leading models, typically in the low single digits when responses rely on provided sources. Vectara's public leaderboard shows rates around 1-3% for many top systems within this limited task. That may seem small until you consider it across millions of responses each day. These low figures hold in narrow, source-grounded tests. In more open tasks, academic reviews in 2024 found hallucination rates ranging from 28% to as high as 91% across various models and prompts. Some reasoning-focused models also showed spikes, with one major system measuring over 14% in a targeted assessment. The point is clear: errors are a feature of current systems, not isolated bugs. In a chat interface, that risk exists at the public sphere's entrance.
Korea's regulators have begun to treat this as a user-protection issue. In early 2025, the Korea Communications Commission issued guidelines to protect users of generative AI services. These guidelines include risk management responsibilities for high-impact systems. The broader AI Framework Act promotes a risk-based approach and outlines obligations for generative AI and other high-impact uses. Competition authorities are also monitoring platform power and preferential treatment in digital markets. These developments indicate a shift from relaxed platform policies to rules that address the actual impact of algorithmic gatekeeping. If the main way to access news starts to talk, we must ask what it says when it is uncertain, how it cites information, and whether rivals can respond on the same platform. Portals that make chat the default should have responsibilities more akin to broadcasters than bulletin boards.
Algorithmic gatekeeping in a portal-first country
South Korea is a critical case because portals shape user habits more than in many democracies. The Reuters Institute's 2025 country report highlights that portals still have the largest share of news access. A Korea Times summary of the same data emphasizes the extent of intermediation: only 6% of users go directly to news sites or apps. Meanwhile, news avoidance is increasing; a Korea Press Foundation survey found that over 70% of respondents avoid the news, citing perceived political bias as a key reason. In this environment, how first-touch interfaces are designed matters significantly. If a portal transitions from lists to chat, it could result in fewer users clicking through to original sources. This would limit exposure to bylines, corrections, and the editorial differences between news and commentary. It would also complicate educators' efforts to teach source evaluation when the "source" appears as a single, blended answer.
The Korean research on personalized news adds another layer. If personalization on Naver tends to present more neutral content while offering fewer distinct topics, then a constant chat interface could amplify a narrow but calm midpoint. This may reduce polarization at the edges but could also hinder diversity and civic curiosity. Educators need students to recognize differing viewpoints, not just a concise summary. Administrators require media literacy programs that teach students how an answer was created, not just how to verify a statement. Policymakers need transparency not only in training data, but also in the live processes that fetch, rank, cite, and summarize information. In a portal-first system, these decisions will determine whether algorithmic gatekeeping expands or restricts the public's perspective. The shift to chat must include a clear link from evidence to statement, visible at the time of reading, not buried in a help page.
What schools, systems, and regulators should do next
First, schools should emphasize dialog-level source critique. Traditional media literacy teaches students to read articles and evaluate outlets. Chat requires a new skill: tracing claims back through a live answer. Teachers can ask students to expand citations within chat responses and compare answers to at least two linked originals. They can cultivate a habit of using "contrast prompts": ask the same question for two conflicting viewpoints and compare the results. This helps build resistance against the tidy, singular answers that algorithmic gatekeeping often produces. In Korea, where most students interact with news via portals, this approach is essential for civic education.
Second, administrators should set defaults that emphasize source accuracy. If schools implement chat tools, the default option should be "grounded with inline citations" instead of open-ended dialogue. Systems should show a visible uncertainty badge when the model is guessing or when sources differ. Benchmarks are crucial here. Using public metrics like the Vectara HHEM leaderboard helps leaders choose tools with lower hallucination risks for summary tasks. It also enables IT teams to conduct acceptance tests that match local curricula. The aim is not a flawless model, but predictable behavior under known prompts, especially in critical classes like civics and history.
Third, policymakers should ensure chat defaults allow for contestation. A portal that gives default answers should come with a "Right to a Rival Answer." If a user asks about a contested issue, the interface should automatically show a credible opposing viewpoint, linked to its own sources, even if the user does not explicitly request it. Korea's new AI user-protection guidelines and risk-based framework provide opportunities for such regulations. So do competition measures aimed at self-favoring practices. The goal is not to dictate outcomes, but to ensure viewpoint diversity is a standard component of gatekeeper services. Requiring a visible, user-controllable "list mode" alongside chat would also maintain some of the user agency from the search age. These measures are subtle but impactful. They align with user habits rather than countering them.
Finally, auditing must be closer to journalism standards. Academic teams in Korea are already developing datasets and methods to identify media bias across issues. Regulators should fund independent research labs that use these tools to rigorously test portal chats on topics like elections and education. The results should be made public, not just sent to vendors. Additionally, portals should provide "sandbox" APIs to allow civil groups to perform audits without non-disclosure agreements. This approach aligns with Korea's recent steps towards AI governance and adheres to global best practices. In a world dominated by algorithmic gatekeeping, we need more than just transparency reports. We require active, replicated tests that reflect real user experiences on a large scale.
Anticipating the critiques
One critique argues that chat reduces polarization by softening language and eliminating the outrage incentives present in social feeds. There is some validity to this. Personalized feeds on Naver display more neutral coverage and less biased statements compared to non-personalized feeds. However, neutrality in tone does not equate to diversity in content. If chat limits exposure to legitimate but contrasting viewpoints, the public may condense into a narrow middle shaped by model biases and gaps in training data. In education, this can limit opportunities to teach students how to assess conflicting claims. The solution is not to ban chat, but to create an environment that fosters healthy debate. Offering rival answers, clear citations, and prompts for contrast allows discussion to thrive without inciting outrage.
Another critique posits that the hallucination issue is diminishing quickly, suggesting less concern. It is true that in grounded tasks, many leading systems now have low single-digit hallucination rates. However, it is also true that in numerous unconstrained tasks, these rates remain high, and some reasoning-focused models see significant spikes when under pressure. In practice, classroom use falls between these extremes. Students will pose open questions, blend facts with opinions, and explore outside narrow sources. This is why policy should acknowledge the potential for error and create safeguards where it counts: defaulting to citations, displaying uncertainty, and maintaining an option for list-mode. When the gatekeeper provides information, a small rate of error can pose a significant social risk. The solution isn't perfection; it's building a framework that allows users to see, verify, and switch modes as needed.
Figure 2: Quiz responses lean on two outlets for ~60% of sources, revealing a narrow upstream pool; a single default chat answer can amplify that concentration.
Lastly, some warn that stricter regulations may hinder innovation. However, Korea's recent policy trends suggest otherwise. Risk-based requirements, user-protection guidelines, and oversight of competition can target potential harms without hindering progress. Clear responsibilities often accelerate adoption by providing confidence to schools and portals to move forward. The alternative—ambiguous liabilities and unclear behaviors—impedes pilot programs and stirs public mistrust. In a portal-first market, trust is the most valuable resource. Guidelines that make algorithmic gatekeeping visible and contestable are not obstacles. They are essential for sustainable growth.
If a nation accesses news through gatekeepers, then the defaults at those gates become a public concern. South Korea illustrates the stakes involved. Portals dominate access. Direct visits are rare. A transition from lists to chat shifts control from ranking to authorship. It also brings the risk of hallucination to the forefront. We cannot view this merely as an upgrade to search. It is algorithmic gatekeeping with a new approach. The response is not to fear chat. It is to tie chat to diversity, source accuracy, and choice. Schools can empower students to demand citations and contrasting views. Administrators can opt for grounded response modes and highlight uncertainty by default. Regulators can mandate rival answers, keep list mode accessible, and fund independent audits. If we take these steps, the new gates can expand the public square instead of constricting it. If we leave this solely to product teams, we risk tidy answers to fewer questions. The critical moment is now. The path forward is clear. We should follow it.
The views expressed in this article are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the official position of the Swiss Institute of Artificial Intelligence (SIAI) or its affiliates.
References
Adel, A. (2025). Can generative AI reliably synthesise literature? Exploring hallucination risks in LLMs. AI & Society. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00146-025-02406-7 Foundation for Freedom Online. (2025, April 18). South Korea's new AI Framework Act: A balancing act between innovation and regulation. Future of Privacy Forum. Kim & Chang. (2025, March 7). The Korea Communications Commission issues the Guidelines on the Protection of Users of Generative AI Services. Korea Press Foundation. (2024). Media users in Korea (news avoidance findings as summarized by RSF). Reporters Without Borders country profile: South Korea. Korea Times. (2025, June 18). YouTube dominates news consumption among older, conservative Koreans; only 6% access news directly. Lee, S. Y. (2025). How diverse and politically biased is personalized news compared to non-personalized news? The case of Korea's internet news portals. SAGE Open. Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism. (2025). Digital News Report—South Korea country page. Vectara. (2024, August 5). HHEM 2.1: A better hallucination detection model and a new leaderboard. Vectara. (2025). LLM Hallucination Leaderboard Vectara. (2025, February 24). Why does DeepSeek-R1 hallucinate so much? Yonhap/Global Competition Review. (2025, September 22). KFTC introduces new measures to regulate online players; amends merger guidelines for digital markets.
Picture
Member for
1 year 1 month
Real name
Ethan McGowan
Bio
Ethan McGowan is a Professor of Financial Technology and Legal Analytics at the Gordon School of Business, SIAI. Originally from the United Kingdom, he works at the frontier of AI applications in financial regulation and institutional strategy, advising on governance and legal frameworks for next-generation investment vehicles. McGowan plays a key role in SIAI’s expansion into global finance hubs, including oversight of the institute’s initiatives in the Middle East and its emerging hedge fund operations.
Eurozone heterogeneity warps school budgets and learning
PISA gaps and uneven rate pass-through show one-size-fits-all reforms fail
Index funding to local prices, tier pay and pathways, add cushions, and scale proven pilots
Through 2023, trade decoupling welfare held up as flows re-routed rather than collapsed
New tariffs and export controls in 2024–2025 risk delayed cost spikes and shortages by 2026
Protect education: keep open lanes, diversify sourcing, and lean on services