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Financial

David O'Neill

The neutral interest rate is rising Borrowing costs for education will stay higher Hedge risk and fund only projects with fast, proven payback In 2025, the U.S.

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David O'Neill

Stablecoin regulation is about making token money behave like deposits in a crisis The open transaction layer is the main weak point If it stays weak, bank-issued tokenized deposits will win In mid-November 2025, the total amo

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Ethan McGowan

Rising interest costs make France’s sovereign debt sustainability a school budget problem Higher defence pressure tightens the squeeze on education Italy shows credible fiscal plans can restore sovereign debt sustainability without wrecking schools

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David O'Neill

Housing wealth losses are squeezing education budgets Cuts hit “extras” first, widening gaps fast Schools need funding buffers and lower pressure According to research, a 10% change in home values can predict a 1.6% chan

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David O'Neill

2022 proved the nonlinear Phillips curve under tight labor Use two-speed budgets: inflation >4% and v/u >1 trigger Teach regime-switching to keep small misses small After the pandemic, inflation surged: in Europ

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Keith Lee

SVB proved digital runs can topple banks fast Real-time diversification is the best defense Faster, targeted supervision blunts coordinated risk In March 2023, the future of financial oversight looked grim.

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Ethan McGowan

Foreign threat consolidation is binding Ukraine—and now Europe—around credible defense Budgets climb, conscription returns, and schools build civic resilience Expect wider mandatory service soon—if paired with fair pathways and legal guardrails

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David O'Neill

Acquisitions slow innovation as buyer governance overrides speed Bound, don’t ban: output floors, retention covenants, access terms Educators: design for portability and use escape clauses There's a number that s

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Ethan McGowan

Bank recapitalization can protect Main Street faster than broad firm subsidies in crises It works best when credit supply is impaired, banks are viable, and bail-ins are credible Diagnose the bottleneck; if banks are the constraint, recapitalize first to crowd in private lending

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David O'Neill

Europe’s Growth-at-Risk shows a heavy downside, despite upbeat markets High debt and defence needs tighten budgets, squeezing education Tie budgets to GaR triggers, secure funding now, protect teaching time The euro area owes a

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Ethan McGowan

Real home prices are slipping—rents cooling and high costs signal housing price deflation Agglomeration can’t beat affordability limits or hybrid work Plan for gentle deflation: lock cheaper leases, support incomes, keep building

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David O'Neill

Interconnectedness keeps small, open economies exposed despite stronger policies Dollar dominance—88% of FX trades, ~40% invoicing, $100T+ swaps—transmits shocks Fix the plumbing: stress-test FX markets, add regional lines, tighten rules, expand local-currency invoicing

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Ethan McGowan

China blocks stablecoins to guard monetary control Goal: curb capital flight and AML risks; push users to e-CNY/mBridge Ed-tech: use bank rails and e-CNY in China; stablecoins only abroad So, here’s the deal:

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David O'Neill

Leadership brings the trading edge; power beats tips Buys precede contracts, sales precede heat—disclosure failed Ban lawmakers’ individual stocks or require true blind trusts Here's the thing that screams out at

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David O'Neill

US fiscal sustainability is strained; interest now tops defense Italy rebounds with primary surpluses; France lags with 5%+ deficits A near-term US primary surplus would stabilize debt and shield education Interest

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Ethan McGowan

EU freezes ~€210bn; windfall profits flow, not principal Route proceeds via EU/G7 loans to steady, education-first support Preserve trust: strict legality, transparency, shared risk A single number now shapes the conversatio

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David O'Neill

Benefits and working conditions make up a third to two-fifths of pay Unions shift value into enforceable rights when cash is tight, boosting retention Measure and fund non-monetary compensation to stabilize schools According t

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Ethan McGowan

Omnibus simplification risks deepening Big Tech lock-in Bind it to portability, open APIs, and switching If others copy, copy the guardrails—not consolidation Europe spent roughly €61 billion on cloud services

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Ethan McGowan

EU-Bonds cost more than Bunds due to design and index rules Make them sovereign: permanent issuance, one agency, hedging tools, clear own resources Tighter spreads free billions for education and investment In mid-2025, the European

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Keith Lee

Remote work and development drives growth Automation narrows factory-led paths Teach English, wire broadband, fix payments One key number should change how ministries of education, finance, and trade plan for the next decade.

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