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Policy

Catherine Maguire

Real-time data can mislead because overload and autocorrelation turn noise into policy Treat fresh numbers as estimates: blend vintages (replay-style), weight by revision risk, and require causal identification Teach revision-aware literacy and measure decisions by how well they age, not how fast they react

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David O'Neill

Tariffs push India and China toward pragmatic corridor-based coordination Chokepoints like Malacca demand education focused on logistics, compliance, and applied R&D Build corridor-ready micro-credentials now to hedge volatility and capture growth

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David O'Neill

China–Russia stick together because discounted energy and sanctions pressure align their interests Despite mistrust, flows of oil, gas, and parts—often via North Korea—keep the bond tight Education systems should budget for energy shocks, harden compliance, and teach scenario planning

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Ethan McGowan

Oil diplomacy now shapes school budgets, student mobility, and campus operations Japan’s hedging between U.S.–Israel ties and Arab energy suppliers previews the new normal Education leaders should hardwire energy resilience and principled, diversified academic partnerships

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Ethan McGowan

Easy renegotiation encourages lowball bids Costs rise later through change orders while value stays flat Use formula-based indexation, strict correction rules, and transparent amendment data In Europe, governments s

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Catherine Maguire

China’s R&D surge and alliance politics are reshaping global education Export controls and demographics redirect students and research Universities must hedge, manage openness, and diversify Here is the number that shou

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Ethan McGowan

China’s rise is gradual, not sudden Power shifts depend on capabilities, satisfaction, and institutions Education must adapt with diversification and resilience Across the global economy, one pair of numbers frames clas

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Keith Lee

China is moving from messaging abroad to pulling audiences in Visa easing, platform virality, and museum upgrades turn curiosity into visits and study Schools should swap institutes for short, place-based exchanges with clear safeguards

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Ethan McGowan

Fragmentation cuts GDP and starves education Colonial borders fuel conflict, distrust, and lost learning Keep mobility open and fund cross-border education corridors We face a hidden cost that seldom appears in bud

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Keith Lee

China shifts to cooperative leverage with zero tariffs and swap lines It builds influence as U.S.

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Ethan McGowan

Put talent—not tariffs—at the center of the India–U.S. deal U.S.

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David O'Neill

Sunday bans add about 1.4 miles of travel per trip They now mainly push shoppers online Targeted labor and digital-market policies work better One key number shapes our understanding of Sunday trading rules: 1.4 miles.

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Ethan McGowan

U.S. tariffs mix security aims with bargaining, causing confusion. Allies hedge by shifting trade and investment toward China and cheaper energy, blunting U.S.

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David O'Neill

China’s dominance in manufacturing now rests on its vast talent pipelines, not just efficiency Western economies risk losing ground unless education and training systems compress time-to-competence at scale Factories of the future will be decided in classrooms as much as on shop floors

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Ethan McGowan

Impeachment carries an “uncertainty premium,” seen in a 14.6% drop in Korea’s FDI pledges Use impeachment as an emergency brake, not routine politics, to protect electoral mandates and stability Adopt guardrails—one-shot filings, fast voter-centered elections, judicial minimalism—and ring-fence education budgets

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David O'Neill

Education now depends on “blue territory” where subsea cables and sea lanes shape daily life Disruptions at Suez and Panama show why we need skills for ports, cables, and maritime law Embed ocean literacy, fund micro-credentials, and plan for outages

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David O'Neill

Tariffs and chip controls are forcing a pragmatic Japan–Korea thaw Ishiba and Lee, both China-leaning, hedge via Beijing while keeping U.S.

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David O'Neill

Asia’s coalition strength lies in education and knowledge, not tariffs Patent dominance shows the region’s leverage in IP and skills An education-first compact is harder to divide than a trade bloc The most decisive

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David O'Neill

‘Subliminal learning’ signals spurious shortcuts, not new pedagogy Demand negative controls, cross-lineage validation, and robustness-first training Procure only models passing the worst-case and safety gates across schools

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Catherine Maguire

Southeast Asia needs a maritime compact, not an Asian NATO Prioritize shared surveillance and coast-guard rules Outside partners support; ASEAN states lead

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