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Policy

Ethan McGowan

The rules-based order is breaking into competing systems Asia is building regional frameworks to manage the shift Education and institutions must adapt to fragmented governance The international system we've relied on for

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Ethan McGowan

Democracy raises growth most where human capital is already strong Freedom and skills act as multipliers, not substitutes, in economic development Sustained prosperity requires joint investment in institutions and people

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Ethan McGowan

Japan is positioning governance as an alternative to China’s infrastructure power AI rules and institutions are emerging as tools of geopolitical influence Central Asia’s autonomy will hinge more on standards than on concrete The

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Catherine McGuire

Femicide risk is misread when key population variables are left out Missing data distorts which policies appear to work Better models are needed to target prevention effectively Here's something that should make us rethi

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Ethan McGowan

U.S. import diversification masks continued supply chain concentration Much of the shift reflects rerouting, not real relocation True resilience requires tracking value chains, not labels U.S.

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David O'Neill

Longevity inequality turns years of life into a form of inherited economic advantage Wealth buys time through better prevention, treatment, and protection from medical ruin Closing the life-expectancy gap is structural economic policy, not just healthcare reform

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Ethan McGowan

The Donroe Doctrine replaces global leadership with blunt self-interest Tariffs now function as leverage, not policy tools Education and governance must adjust to a less predictable order The Donroe Doctrine isn’t a sweeping histori

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David O'Neill

State kidnapping replaces law with power and turns exceptional force into dangerous precedent When rules bend for one state, they fracture for all others Without firm legal boundaries, global order gives way to permanent instability <

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Keith Lee

India’s reliance on cheap Russian oil is not a diplomatic preference but an economic necessity Energy security now outweighs export dependence on the United States in India’s policy calculus This constraint narrows India’s strategic options and weakens Washington’s leverage in Asia

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Keith Lee

Abortion restrictions are linked to higher infant mortality and worse maternal health outcomes Research also shows increased relationship violence and long-term harm to children Policy debates must account for these documented effects, not ideology alone

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David O'Neill

Public debt is now a core risk for advanced economies, not just poorer ones Rule-based fiscal policy preserves market trust better than discretion Without credible debt strategies, education and growth spending will be crowded out

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Ethan McGowan

Plurality voting systems amplify narrow anti-immigration platforms The resulting policies accelerate outsourcing and automation, weakening local jobs Institutional reform is key to breaking this self-reinforcing cycle In numerous

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Keith Lee

Many trade gains reflect rerouting, not real production Reallocation builds domestic value; rerouting only shifts routes Policy must target value added, not export volume The main takeaway is that much of the recent growth in Sou

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Ethan McGowan

China’s global strategy is increasingly shaped by domestic economic pressures rather than imperial ambition Youth unemployment and slowing growth are pushing policy inward and favoring stability over expansion Education and skills systems now sit at the center of long-term power

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David O'Neill

Geopolitical risk now restrains corporate borrowing more than interest rates Asian firms delay investment when trade and policy rules become unpredictable Stable policy signals matter more than cheaper credit for reviving investment

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David O'Neill

Sanctions are no longer fully isolating North Korea as its nuclear program advances This normalization weakens global non-proliferation norms The shift raises nuclear pressure on U.S.

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Keith Lee

Markets price geopolitical risk long before models can measure it Local-language news captures early signals that global indices miss LLMs can structure these signals, if used with care and oversight After Russia's invasion of

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Ethan McGowan

The Marshall Islands UBI brings short-term relief but long-term risk Cash works early, yet universal programs strain small economies Success depends on governance and timely adjustment In November 2025, the Marshall Isl

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David O'Neill

EU tariffs raised EV prices but did not erode China’s dominance in battery production Chinese EV batteries stay competitive due to scale, cost, and integrated supply chains Without parallel investment in skills and capacity, trade measures invite retaliation without resilience

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