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Financial

Keith Lee

Households’ inflation beliefs move more with media framing than ECB verbosity Extra, unscheduled talk can backfire; clarity, timing, and audiovisual formats anchor expectations Make communication a measurable policy tool with simple targets and state-contingent triggers

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Ethan McGowan

Token value comes from network use, not only cash flows Teach Metcalfe-style metrics—active users, adjusted settlement, fees and ETF signals—with transparent filters Update curricula to pair demand-based valuation with risk and regulation

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David O'Neill

The UK–India pact swaps targeted tariff cuts for larger services and mobility gains Phased quotas protect adjustment while amplifying each side’s comparative strengths Biggest risk: an EU–India deal; move fast and fund skills to preserve advantage

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Ethan McGowan

Bitcoin’s value stems from settlement utility, not cash flows Institutional demand and fees support this role It is better seen as a monetary asset than a Ponzi In its first year on the market, U.S

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David O'Neill

Same cash backbone, different rules: MMFs pay yield; stablecoins move money fast Receive tuition via regulated stablecoins, then auto-sweep into MMFs/tokenized T-bills This two-rail setup cuts cross-border costs, speeds settlement, and protects budgets

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David O'Neill

Business and financial cycles require different neutral interest rates East Asian data show the gaps are often large Policy must balance growth needs with financial stability The most crucial number in monetary policy

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Ethan McGowan

Aid can raise political violence by making public office a richer prize Design fixes—timing, transparency, smaller discretion, cash or in-kind by context—reduce that risk Gaza shows the stakes: build neutral, auditable rails and protect multi-year humanitarian budget

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Ethan McGowan

Stablecoins are the battleground for China’s reserve-currency bid Without a trusted RMB token, dollar stablecoins entrench dominance and siphon savings Use Hong Kong and mBridge to launch audited RMB rails for trade and tuition

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Ethan McGowan

Tariffs in 2025 weakened the dollar instead of strengthening it Markets priced in retaliation, limited U.S.

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David O'Neill

Tariffs act as hidden taxes, falling mainly on U.S.

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David O'Neill

Instant payments and digital banking have made deposit runs faster than ever Portfolio diversity cushions shocks, but uninsured deposits remain a fragile tail risk Stronger backstops and real-time liquidity are essential to match ten-second money

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Ethan McGowan

Tariffs act as taxes, not growth tools Infant-industry logic applies only narrowly Targeted subsidies and workforce policies work better By June 2025, the United States had already collected about $93.9 billion

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David O'Neill

The dollar jumped post-election on expectations of institutional discipline April 2025 tariffs flipped that belief, boosting uncertainty and softening the dollar Education systems should hedge and budget for event-driven FX swings

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Keith Lee

Incentives, not ideology, will decide the dollar–RMB digital race Regulated dollar stablecoins scale; e-CNY stays domestic as China tests HK yuan stablecoins Regulate tightly and pilot cross-border payments in education and trade—measure, don’t mandate

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David O'Neill

Misapplied memories of past crises distort investor behavior and delay recovery Overshooting stems less from ignorance than from faulty analogies that amplify panic or euphoria Policy should focus on structural safeguards and qualified capital, not generic history lessons

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David O'Neill

Dollar stablecoins hold near-total global dominance Only HKD and JPY can credibly counter in Asia Success depends on fast, disciplined execution

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Keith Lee

Tariffs nudge prices up but can shrink Treasury coupon supply Channel tariff revenue to bills to compress term premia and enable Fed cuts Extending tax cuts swells deficits, hardens long yields, and squeezes education budgets

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